Fine wine vintage predictions · Sealed before critics score

Physics
doesn't take bribes

We know the score before anyone opens the bottle.

No opinions. No relationships. No conflicts of interest.
Only ERA5 reanalysis data and Sentinel‑2 satellite imagery.

Bordeaux · Pomerol
Pétrus, Trotanoy & L'Église-Clinet
Model v11 · SM two-epoch + VPD_p90 + flag_heat · n=96
17181920 2122232425
LOVO out-of-sample R²=0.693 · MAE 1.18pt
Pétrus 2025 · 98.3pt · sealed June 2026, inside WA/Suckling en primeur range
Trotanoy 2025 · 96.0pt · sealed
L'Église-Clinet 2025 · 96.7pt · sealed
Fine Wine Intelligence Critic score predicted from climate physics, sealed pre-verdict on Bitcoin
"The vine remembers every drought, every frost, every warm September night. We only learned to read its memory." TerroiRisk, 2026

TerroiRisk predicts the critic score of a vintage from climate physics alone, published before any critic opens a bottle.

Each prediction is sealed on the Bitcoin blockchain: proof of existence, before a date. When the scores arrive, our record already exists. You cannot rewrite what the atmosphere measured.

1.18pt
Mean absolute error
Pomerol, out-of-sample
3
Wines sealed
Pomerol
2025
Vintage sealed
before critics score
Territorial Mapping — AVI Same physical rigor, applied to terroir instead of critic score
Veneto · Valdobbiadene
Cartizze
DOCG Cartizze · Glera · 107 ha
17181920 2122232425
83 hand-drawn parcels · 9 contrade · 5m Veneto DTM
4 Sentinel-2 indices · NDVI · NDRE · EVI · NDMI · 9 vintages
2022 vintage: −55% NDMI water stress per parcel
Resilience view: distressed years per vine · 2022 water event
Balearic Islands · Formentera
Formentera
Terramoll & Cap de Barbaria · International + native varieties · ~14 ha
17181920 2122232425
Terramoll & Cap De Barbaria · dry-farmed old-vine alberello
NDVI/NDMI 2017–2025 · hand-drawn perimeter, field-verified
2025 vintage: earliest harvest on record, −31% NDVI 2022→2025
Piemonte · Langhe
BaroloBeta
DOCG Barolo · Nebbiolo · 177 MGA
17181920 2122232425
177 MGA · 11 municipalities
Sentinel-2 NDVI · 5m DTM · 2017–2025
Summary · Trend · Seasonality